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 Psychic update #2, 4/29, Pleco may be Psychic!
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BigPapaSmurf
SFN Die Hard

3192 Posts

Posted - 04/28/2008 :  06:50:44  Show Profile Send BigPapaSmurf a Private Message  Reply with Quote
2008 psychcic contest
http://www.skepticfriends.org/forum/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=9221

Stock Pick Update, As of 4/28
Name-current-purchase price, BOLD = Good, Italics = Bad
MAXE -2.92-2.89 ---BPS
GM –21.38-28.21
CSCO –25.60-24.50
WB –28.81-39.47 ---Robb
CSGS –12.29-12.76
LTSR –51.45-50.03
AAPL –169.73-135.36 ---Pleco
GOOG –544.06-564.30
SLB –102.74-74.50
KYO –85.39-80.02 --Dude
GE -33.33-35.36
SI –117.56-130.05
HPQ –47.45-43.72 --Filthy
HD –29.78-30.64 ---H. Humbert
SNE –45.63-47.50
WMI –35.46-32.41
IBM –123.08-107.11 ---Dave W./With GOOG above
XOM –92.46-86.40
GLW –25.92-24.16 ---Moakley/ With HD above
PFE –20.43-23.36
TM –102.06-108.32 ---Just some guy
COKE –59.29-60.06

Earthquake prediction
Pleco, with the (corrected from 9 points) 8-point prediction west of Medan, Sumatra, so far. No other scorers. Almost everyone else is in the ‘more than 2000km away' penalty

Barrel of Oil
118.52, Just Some Guy and Dude with 1 point, everyone else is in the penalty with –2 points

Dollar-Euro Conversion
1 Dollar =.6402 Euro
Big Papa and Robb with 4 points, Everyone else except Dave is –2 points for being over 20% off actual.

Movie Box Office,
Too soon for data.

Deadpool,
Dave W. with the Moses pick for 2 points, Im pretty sure the rest of em are still kicking, no time to check them all today.

Hurricanes,
Too soon in season

Most Deadly Terror attack outside Iraq,
Pleco nails the location, Khandahar for 4 points! 65 dead, no one is within 10%.

P.S. If anyone has anything nifty they would like to donate to the "Super Awesome Prize Package" feel free to PM me.

Edited by - BigPapaSmurf on 04/28/2008 06:58:05

Dave W.
Info Junkie

USA
26013 Posts

Posted - 04/28/2008 :  07:28:18   [Permalink]  Show Profile  Visit Dave W.'s Homepage Send Dave W. a Private Message  Reply with Quote
Originally posted by BigPapaSmurf

Dave W. with the Moses pick for 2 points, Im pretty sure the rest of em are still kicking, no time to check them all today.
None of my other Taylors have croaked yet. There's still time, you underachievers!

- Dave W. (Private Msg, EMail)
Evidently, I rock!
Why not question something for a change?
Visit Dave's Psoriasis Info, too.
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pleco
SFN Addict

USA
2998 Posts

Posted - 04/28/2008 :  07:49:31   [Permalink]  Show Profile  Visit pleco's Homepage Send pleco a Private Message  Reply with Quote
Prepare your fealty oaths and tributes and you will be spared in the upcoming Great Cleansing!


by Filthy
The neo-con methane machine will soon be running at full fart.
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BigPapaSmurf
SFN Die Hard

3192 Posts

Posted - 04/28/2008 :  11:42:31   [Permalink]  Show Profile Send BigPapaSmurf a Private Message  Reply with Quote
Just do me a favor, make sure you cleanse all of the pizza joints who put their toppings under the cheese. They're called TOPPINGS!

"...things I have neither seen nor experienced nor heard tell of from anybody else; things, what is more, that do not in fact exist and could not ever exist at all. So my readers must not believe a word I say." -Lucian on his book True History

"...They accept such things on faith alone, without any evidence. So if a fraudulent and cunning person who knows how to take advantage of a situation comes among them, he can make himself rich in a short time." -Lucian critical of early Christians c.166 AD From his book, De Morte Peregrini
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BigPapaSmurf
SFN Die Hard

3192 Posts

Posted - 06/05/2008 :  07:01:35   [Permalink]  Show Profile Send BigPapaSmurf a Private Message  Reply with Quote
As of 6/4/08, number should get better once the Movie and Hurricane seasons get going.

BPS
Stock Picks)0 points
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil)-2 points
Dollar v Euro)4 points
Movie Box Office)-2 points
Deadpool)-3points
Hurricane)-3points
Deadly Terror Atk)0 points


Robb
Stock Picks)-1 point
Earthquake)-3points
Barrel Of Oil)-2points
Dollar v Euro)4 points
Movie Box Office)-2points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0 points


Pleco
Stock Picks)4points
Earthquake) -3 points
Barrel Of Oil)-2points
Dollar v Euro)-2 points
Movie Box Office)0points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)4 points


Dude
Stock Picks)0 points
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil) 0 points
Dollar v Euro)-2points
Movie Box Office)0points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


Filthy
Stock Picks)-1point
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil)-2points
Dollar v Euro)-2points
Movie Box Office)0points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


H. Humbert
Stock Picks) 1 point
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil)1 points
Dollar v Euro)-2points
Movie Box Office)0points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


Dave W.
Stock Picks)1point
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil)5 points
Dollar v Euro)1 point
Movie Box Office)0points
Deadpool)2 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


Moakley
Stock Picks)-1point
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil) 5 points
Dollar v Euro)-2points
Movie Box Office)1point
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


Just Some Guy
Stock Picks)-2points
Earthquake)-3 points
Barrel Of Oil)-2 points
Dollar v Euro)-2points
Movie Box Office)-2points
Deadpool)-3 points
Hurricane)-3 points
Deadly Terror Atk)0points


Standings, Edited for 12$ Oil increse last two days...
Dave W., 3 points
Pleco, -5points
Moakley, -6 points
BPS, -9 points
H. Humbert, -9points
Robb, -10points
Dude, -11points
Filthy, -14points(1point penalty for 2 invalid stock picks)
Just Some Guy, -15points(Half point penalty for 1 invalid stock pick)
Edited by - BigPapaSmurf on 06/06/2008 12:18:45
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Dave W.
Info Junkie

USA
26013 Posts

Posted - 06/05/2008 :  07:20:08   [Permalink]  Show Profile  Visit Dave W.'s Homepage Send Dave W. a Private Message  Reply with Quote
What's the total point range, from "everything correct" down to "everything as wrong as possible?"

- Dave W. (Private Msg, EMail)
Evidently, I rock!
Why not question something for a change?
Visit Dave's Psoriasis Info, too.
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BigPapaSmurf
SFN Die Hard

3192 Posts

Posted - 06/05/2008 :  07:35:58   [Permalink]  Show Profile Send BigPapaSmurf a Private Message  Reply with Quote
Well the stock picks could gain an unlimited amount and therefor have no cap.
Earthquake) max 12, min -3
Hurricane) max 7, min -2
Oil) max 10, min -2
Deadpool) 20, 8,6,4,2 or -3
Movie) Max 8, min -2
Stocks) No max, min -20
Euro) max 10, min -2
Terror) Max 14, min 0

So the Worst score is -34, best score(stocks excluded) is 71, a 100% increase in all three stocks would be worth 20 points.
Edited by - BigPapaSmurf on 06/05/2008 07:39:06
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Dave W.
Info Junkie

USA
26013 Posts

Posted - 06/05/2008 :  08:25:20   [Permalink]  Show Profile  Visit Dave W.'s Homepage Send Dave W. a Private Message  Reply with Quote
So if we normalize the score so that worst is zero, then best becomes anything over 105, and you're in the lead with a whopping 31 and filthy is one of the last with 20.

- Dave W. (Private Msg, EMail)
Evidently, I rock!
Why not question something for a change?
Visit Dave's Psoriasis Info, too.
Go to Top of Page

filthy
SFN Die Hard

USA
14408 Posts

Posted - 06/06/2008 :  12:34:45   [Permalink]  Show Profile Send filthy a Private Message  Reply with Quote
Originally posted by Dave W.

So if we normalize the score so that worst is zero, then best becomes anything over 105, and you're in the lead with a whopping 31 and filthy is one of the last with 20.
Life ain't easy when you're dirty & greasy. It takes a lot of hard work & concentration to be dead last (and to pick up the loose change & leftover lunch hurriedly abandoned by the leaders in their rush to glory).




"What luck for rulers that men do not think." -- Adolf Hitler (1889 - 1945)

"If only we could impeach on the basis of criminal stupidity, 90% of the Rethuglicans and half of the Democrats would be thrown out of office." ~~ P.Z. Myres


"The default position of human nature is to punch the other guy in the face and take his stuff." ~~ Dude

Brother Boot Knife of Warm Humanitarianism,

and Crypto-Communist!

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Dave W.
Info Junkie

USA
26013 Posts

Posted - 06/06/2008 :  19:22:36   [Permalink]  Show Profile  Visit Dave W.'s Homepage Send Dave W. a Private Message  Reply with Quote
From BPS's sig as of today:
Psychic Contest standings as of 6/6/08, 12$ oil increase last two days! +Daves # was in error
Dave W., 3 points
Dammit. If I win again it's gonna look like the contest is rigged.

- Dave W. (Private Msg, EMail)
Evidently, I rock!
Why not question something for a change?
Visit Dave's Psoriasis Info, too.
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